Ocean acidification may not directly affect fish behaviour

As humans fill the atmosphere with excess carbon dioxide, much of it gets absorbed by the oceans, acidifying them — a potential concern for marine life. According to a new study published in PLOS Biology, however, previously high-profile worries about an effect on fish behaviour appear to have declined.

The research led by Jeff Clements and Fredrik Jutfelt from the Norwegian University of Science and Technology, along with Josefin Sundin from the Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences and Timothy Clark from Deakin University, demonstrates that the apparent severity of ocean acidification impacts on fish behaviour, as reported in the scientific literature, has declined dramatically over the past decade.

The researchers used meta-analysis to analyse trends in reported effects of ocean acidification on fish behaviour in studies published from 2009–2019. While early studies reported extremely clear and strong effects, the magnitude of those impacts has decreased over time and has been negligible for the past five years.

“A textbook example of the decline effect,” said Dr Clements, lead author of the study. “The decline effect is the tendency for the strength of scientific findings to decrease in magnitude over time. While relatively well-recognised in fields like psychology and medicine, it is lesser known in ecology — our study provides perhaps the most striking example of it in this field to date.”

To determine what might have caused the decline effect in their meta-analysis, the authors explored numerous biological factors, but found that biological differences between studies through time could not explain the results. Instead, common scientific biases largely explained the decline effect.

“Science often suffers from publication bias, where strong effects are selectively published by authors and prestigious journals,” Prof Jutfelt said. “It’s only after others try to replicate initial results and publish less striking findings that true effects become known. Our analysis shows that strong effects in this field are favourably published in high-impact journals.”

Alongside publication bias, studies that reported severe effects tended to have smaller sample sizes. Furthermore, these less rigorous studies in prestigious journals still receive more attention from researchers and have had a stronger influence on perceived effects in this field.

While imploring others to give more emphasis to recent studies with larger sample sizes, Dr Clements feels that the team’s results are good news.

“While climate change will undoubtedly affect marine animals, at least it seems that ocean acidification won’t directly affect fish behaviour,” he said. The decline is also testament to the self-correcting nature of the scientific process.

Sundin concluded, “Carbon dioxide emissions have severe negative impacts, not the least through global warming. Given the results of our study, future research efforts can focus on questions where we do see substantial effects being repeated over time.”

Image credit: ©iStockphoto.com/Jodi Jacobson

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